Greetings! My name is Sid, and welcome to my blog. Sid's Charts is essentially a diary of the forex and futures charts I trade from every day. Each chart will typically include carefully considered Elliott Wave technical analysis, trendlines, MACD, and Fibonacci targets. Accompanying each chart will be additional explanations, commentary and predictions. Also included here are numerous links to many of the best trading education materials available. Enjoy, and thanks for visiting!
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Nasdaq E-mini - February 24, 2011 - 60 minute candles. Further consolodation expected for a couple of days before selloff resumes . .
Here is my count of the correction so far in the Nasdaq. I don't believe a full 5-wave downside structure is complete, which means, with only 3 waves finished, it might be dangerous to be shorting as of yet. The last little move to the downside appeared to subdivide into just 3 waves, so I believe it was a wave B of an expanded flat. The downward momentum eased today, with the MACD on the 1-hour chart now showing considerable divergence. The next new low isn't likely to be a deep one, but just a slight new low created by 5 waves down, which will confirm that a 5-wave pink A of a bearish ABC zigzag is complete. This will be required to indicate that there is more of this correction to come.
As the chart depicts, a complete wave A (pink) should be followed by a pink wave B, likely a 3-wave retracement to about 2335, the extreme of the wave 4 of one lesser degree. At that point, I'll be expecting very aggressive selling to commence, with an eventual downside target of around 2082 to complete pink wave C, and therefore, the blue wave 2 correction. The next movement after that, if my longer term prognosis is correct, will be almost parabolic buying. Should be interesting!