Greetings! My name is Sid, and welcome to my blog. Sid's Charts is essentially a diary of the forex and futures charts I trade from every day. Each chart will typically include carefully considered Elliott Wave technical analysis, trendlines, MACD, and Fibonacci targets. Accompanying each chart will be additional explanations, commentary and predictions. Also included here are numerous links to many of the best trading education materials available. Enjoy, and thanks for visiting!
Monday, February 21, 2011
Nasdaq E-mini - February 21, 2011 - 360 minute candles. The long-awaited correction may finally be getting started, BUT . .
Although the above chart depicts that an intermediate top is in, I'm waiting for confirmation in the form of movement below 2328.25 (the extreme of subminuette wave 1 orange) before even considering getting short. Also, it would be nice to be able to at least count 5 waves down from the high on 5 minute chart. That's where the bad news comes in (if you're looking to get short) , because downward price action so far (on the 5m timeframe), although starting with a very quick (possibly submicro degree) 5 waves down for what appeared to be an impulsive wave 1, has now turned choppy and overlapping during subsequent downward movement, right where an impulsive wave 3 down would be expected. Not a good sign for the bears. So, the jury is still out on whether this is really the beginning of a larger correction or not.
One additional problem, the NY stock market is on holiday today, so I think it would be unwise to be drawing conclusions without all the "strong hands" in the game . .
See http://sidscharts.blogspot.com/2011/02/spx-february-13-2011-monthly-candles.html for my current (but tentative) long-term count on the US stock market.